4 Posts Tagged "Fat tails"

Ensia: Pay Now or Pay More Later

Posted on April 10th 2014 | 0 comments
Originally published on
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Chinese margin of error

Posted on August 29th 2011 | 0 comments
China’s declared goal is to generate 15 percent of its electricity by 2020 from non-fossil sources. If China meets half of its target, it will command half of the world’s market for wind and solar energy. If China meets its entire target, it w ...
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Uncertain policy, uncertain outcomes

Posted on August 25th 2011 | 0 comments
Bad policies are bad. Uncertain policies are worse. Imagine you are in the business of putting up wind turbines. The cost of your turbines has been coming down dramatically for years, and is slated to do so for the foreseeable future ...
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Fat tails thinking and non-thinking

Posted on August 21st 2011 | 0 comments
Disasters are bad no matter how you look at them. And then there are disasters that boggle the minds of even those who are hardened in the art of disaster management. They aren’t just a bit worse than anything that came before, they are twice as bad. They don’t ...
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